Skip to main content

Nifty to resume downside move towards 7400 this week

Bottom Line: We are in last leg of the first correction of our multi month Bull Run. We will not enter Bear trajectory until Nifty breaches and close below 6580 for three consecutive days.


Good Morning!


Having broken all major support (8240 & 8120) last week and closed below them, Nifty likely to continue its downward journey towards 7400 this week. If you look closely the Nifty chart at different time frames one thing is evident, that volumes spike up at every fall, indicating how the bears are utilizing the opportunity to build short with every short lived raise. 7940 would act as a minor support for the day, however having this level broken last week, we can see this level breaking at ease by the bears. In short, especially the last 3 days of this week would be controlled mainly by the bears. 

Technically speaking, on the daily chart of Nifty I am looking for a move in RSI towards 50 and MACD to converge a little more. These would give more strength to the bears to push the Nifty harder towards 7400 in the second half of this week. Stay calm as once this turbulent wave is over, we are going to see a major upside move.

The trends for the day.

Long term Trend: Correction to the ongoing Bull Run. As long as we hold on to 6580 we will not turn negative on the long term view of Bull that we hold.

Intermediate term Trend: Not trending.

Short term Trend: Trending Down. The trend will not change until we close above 8240, which means 8240 would act as SL for those who are short in Nifty.

Safe Investing!
Labels:

Comments

Post a Comment

Popular posts from this blog

An in-depth analysis on Nifty

Bottom Line : We are in last leg of the first correction of our multi month Bull Run. We will not enter Bear trajectory until Nifty breaches and close below 6580 for three consecutive days. Good Morning! Just now the DOW closed, closed with big gains however closed this quarter on a losing streak. As some of you know, I analyse and trade DOW more than any other market. Let’s get into business. Am going to keep this post a bit longer. As we move towards a longer weekend, let us do the analysis bit deeper. Am going to take you through how a real analyst go through a chart with minute observations to arrive at some conclusion. It would be boring for some who doesn’t want to learn how to make money. It’s going to interesting for those who want to understand how a technical analyst observes a chart.   Firstly, let us pull up the longer term picture of Nifty – the monthly chart. Nifty – Monthly We can easily identify the long term upward sloping trend-l...
10 comments
Read more

Will this rally fill the gaps?

Bottom Line : We are in last leg of the first correction of our multi month Bull Run. We will not enter Bear trajectory until Nifty breaches and close below 6580 for three consecutive days. Good Morning! Mr. Market loves to play fool around with Bulls Bears and all analysts. This is what we stated last week and here he goes. Now Nifty is marching towards filing up the hard gap that we have witnessed in the month of August. What next? Even before we discuss what next, I wanted to discuss something i think is more important to read before analyzing markets. The topic for discussion is "Looking at the chart at different angles (time frame) ". Someone asked me this over the weekend, what would be done if different time frames gives different outlook. A very good question, I said now you have started to learn analyzing markets. Why? Unless a person looks at the chart in different time frames he is not going to understand what is happening or rather understand what is...
1 comment
Read more